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State Meet Deep Dive: D2 Boys

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     In lieu of a full state preview this year, I've chosen to focus on one section of the meet: the D2 boys' race, which looks to be the most competitive one of the day. I spoke with several of the title contenders' coaches and took a closer look at their teams. Season in Review     There were high hopes for FHE coming off a stellar track season, but a few questions remained headed into the season. Would 1600/3200 strength translate to the grass? How do you replace a low-stick like Aiden Sullivan? The Hawks answered both of those questions ("absolutely" and "shockingly easily", respectively) with their crushing win at South Christian's Under the Lights meet. FHE scored 22 points in the Twilight race, putting all scorers under 17:00. Brendan Hoving, Liam Hinman, and Henry Dixon showed the first iteration of their three-headed monster; Hoving was the top runner this time, but Dixon has emerged as the #1 for most of the season.          Shepherd brough

Two Peninsulas Are Better Than One? A Hypothetical Statewide XC Championship

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       With UP and LP soccer finally being merged after years of separation (this had to go to court for some reason), there have been slight rumblings about a similar change to XC and/or track. That seems unlikely at this point, considering UP soccer didn't even have a state tournament while XC and track very much do, but what this article supposes is: what if that happened? Let's take the 2022 XC season and see how the state meet would've looked if both peninsulas competed together. The Basics      Merging the two peninsulas messes with the division cutoffs quite a bit. Most UP schools are very small - Marquette is usually the only one with a LP D1 enrollment number, and just 4-5 more fit into D2 most years. This causes a massive shift of schools up the division hierarchy: UP teams are in bold here - you can see that most of the divisional changes end up being LP teams. The seasons are also somewhat different currently, with UP finals occurring in mid-October. In the int

Mid-Season Recap: A Statistical View

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Folks, there's only about a month left of the season. Just over two weeks until regionals. Let's see what everyone's been up to! How the System Works I've used my Michigan Points System (name is a work in progress) a few times before, but I'll go over it again, since it's probably new to some of y'all. The basic idea comes from the USTFCCCA , with a few tweaks to make it work better for HS rankings.  Athletes get points for ranking in the top 25 in their division (20 points maximum) or for exceeding the state AQ mark (calibrated such that 20 points = average state champion mark from the past 10 seasons). This means that sometimes, more than 25 people will get points from a certain event if they've all hit the AQ. (This is already happening in the D1 boys 1600!) A few additional things to keep in mind: Because so few meets, especially early in the season, use wind gauges, I'm keeping any results that aren't blatantly incorrect. There are 200 resul